RU POV: Russian and Ukrainian advances on Day 791 and 792 of the war - Suriyakmaps

The localised collapse around Ocheretyne continues. We had confirmation of the Russian capture of the entire town over the past 2 days (as opposed to geolocation in the centre of the town we saw earlier). As I've previously mentioned, Ocheretyne was a key base for the Ukrainian military in this area, and its loss has had catastrophic consequences for them.

The Ukrainian military is currently in retreat across the board in this area, scrambling back to defensive lines built much further back and trying to stall for time. The 47th Brigade, having been suddenly redeployed to this area after having their rotation cancelled, had little chance to stabilise the situation, as you simply can't expect a brigade to set up and counterattack that quickly, particularly one as damaged as the 47th.

Novobakhmutivka fell without any (infantry) fighting, and Ukraine made some weak attempts to stop the Russians near Soloviove before they quickly decided to retreat, ceding Russia the village within hours of the first assault. Russian forces are also pushing north-east towards Arkhanhelske, likely in an attempt to cut the Ukrainian forces in Keramik and Novokalynove off. Russian forces on the eastern side of Novokalynove are also pushing north, likely trying to bypass the town to link up with the Russian force going for Arkhanhelske. Ukraine will almost certainly have to retreat from these villages within the next few days, or be encircled.

Further south, Russia captured the remainder of Semenivka, and parts of Berdychi, as Ukrainian forces also retreated here due to the risk of being attacked from the north. The defence lines Ukraine had set up after the fall of Avdiivka have essentially become redundant, as Russian forces have breach both the first and second defence lines, and are now advancing towards Ukraine from the north and east, instead of the south as many of the trenchlines were designed for. The fields between Soloviove and Semenivka will almost certainly come under Russian control within the next week.

Overall Russia will certainly continue to funnel in more forces into the gap they have created in the Ukrainian lines, and try to expand outwards as much as possible before Ukraine can stabilise (pic below).

The localised collapse around Ocheretyne continues. We had confirmation of the Russian capture of the entire town over the past 2 days (as opposed to geolocation in the centre of the town we saw earlier). As I've previously mentioned, Ocheretyne was a key base for the Ukrainian military in this area, and its loss has had catastrophic consequences for them.

The Ukrainian military is currently in retreat across the board in this area, scrambling back to defensive lines built much further back and trying to stall for time. The 47th Brigade, having been suddenly redeployed to this area after having their rotation cancelled, had little chance to stabilise the situation, as you simply can't expect a brigade to set up and counterattack that quickly, particularly one as damaged as the 47th.

Novobakhmutivka fell without any (infantry) fighting, and Ukraine made some weak attempts to stop the Russians near Soloviove before they quickly decided to retreat, ceding Russia the village within hours of the first assault. Russian forces are also pushing north-east towards Arkhanhelske, likely in an attempt to cut the Ukrainian forces in Keramik and Novokalynove off. Russian forces on the eastern side of Novokalynove are also pushing north, likely trying to bypass the town to link up with the Russian force going for Arkhanhelske. Ukraine will almost certainly have to retreat from these villages within the next few days, or be encircled.

Further south, Russia captured the remainder of Semenivka, and parts of Berdychi, as Ukrainian forces also retreated here due to the risk of being attacked from the north. The defence lines Ukraine had set up after the fall of Avdiivka have essentially become redundant, as Russian forces have breach both the first and second defence lines, and are now advancing towards Ukraine from the north and east, instead of the south as many of the trenchlines were designed for. The fields between Soloviove and Semenivka will almost certainly come under Russian control within the next week.

Overall Russia will certainly continue to funnel in more forces into the gap they have created in the Ukrainian lines, and try to expand outwards as much as possible before Ukraine can stabilise (pic below).

The localised collapse around Ocheretyne continues. We had confirmation of the Russian capture of the entire town over the past 2 days (as opposed to geolocation in the centre of the town we saw earlier). As I've previously mentioned, Ocheretyne was a key base for the Ukrainian military in this area, and its loss has had catastrophic consequences for them.

The Ukrainian military is currently in retreat across the board in this area, scrambling back to defensive lines built much further back and trying to stall for time. The 47th Brigade, having been suddenly redeployed to this area after having their rotation cancelled, had little chance to stabilise the situation, as you simply can't expect a brigade to set up and counterattack that quickly, particularly one as damaged as the 47th.

Novobakhmutivka fell without any (infantry) fighting, and Ukraine made some weak attempts to stop the Russians near Soloviove before they quickly decided to retreat, ceding Russia the village within hours of the first assault. Russian forces are also pushing north-east towards Arkhanhelske, likely in an attempt to cut the Ukrainian forces in Keramik and Novokalynove off. Russian forces on the eastern side of Novokalynove are also pushing north, likely trying to bypass the town to link up with the Russian force going for Arkhanhelske. Ukraine will almost certainly have to retreat from these villages within the next few days, or be encircled.

Further south, Russia captured the remainder of Semenivka, and parts of Berdychi, as Ukrainian forces also retreated here due to the risk of being attacked from the north. The defence lines Ukraine had set up after the fall of Avdiivka have essentially become redundant, as Russian forces have breach both the first and second defence lines, and are now advancing towards Ukraine from the north and east, instead of the south as many of the trenchlines were designed for. The fields between Soloviove and Semenivka will almost certainly come under Russian control within the next week.

Overall Russia will certainly continue to funnel in more forces into the gap they have created in the Ukrainian lines, and try to expand outwards as much as possible before Ukraine can stabilise (pic below).

Russian forces continue their assault in Krasnogorivka, capturing more of the residential areas, and pushing into the industrial zone. Both sides are currently involved in heavy clashes in the industrial area, as it is the strongest defensive position left in the town for Ukraine. If they lose control of it, it will be incredibly difficult for them to hold the remaining residential area of the town to the north.

Russian forces continue their assault in Krasnogorivka, capturing more of the residential areas, and pushing into the industrial zone. Both sides are currently involved in heavy clashes in the industrial area, as it is the strongest defensive position left in the town for Ukraine. If they lose control of it, it will be incredibly difficult for them to hold the remaining residential area of the town to the north.

Russian forces continue their assault in Krasnogorivka, capturing more of the residential areas, and pushing into the industrial zone. Both sides are currently involved in heavy clashes in the industrial area, as it is the strongest defensive position left in the town for Ukraine. If they lose control of it, it will be incredibly difficult for them to hold the remaining residential area of the town to the north.

Russia captured another field west of Marinka, as Ukrainian forces pulled back to more defensible positions around Heorhiivka.

The slow advance in Robotyne continues, with another small around south of the village itself coming under Russian control. This area will continue to be very static regardless of developments on other fronts.

According to Suriyak, over the past 2 weeks Ukraine has deployed more troops into Krynky, refusing to give up its foothold on the left bank of the Dnieper. Advances in this area are extremely difficult to judge and catalogue, as the town is simply rubble at this point, and Ukraine can deploy squads in boats in one area, before moving them to another the next day, making it difficult to tell where they 'control' at any specific point in time.

Ukraine still lacks the forces to push out of the foothold however, and is limited to rotating its troops around and making opportunistic attacks to prevent Russian from forcing them back across the river.

Russia made a small advance towards Urozhaine, after days of heavy bombing and artillery barrages. At this stage it is not possible to tell if this is simply opportunistic or part of a larger push.