UA POV: Russian and Ukrainian advances from Day 1477 to 1491 of the War - Suriyakmaps

Starting another post off on the Sumy border area, through mid-March Russia continued to expand their control of the border on this east side, moving south of Sopych and north from Bobylivka to capture most of the remaining forest areas between the two villages. All that remains between them is the village of Potapivka, which sits empty and will likely be captured soon.

Heading to the Kupyansk (clown) front, on the west side Ukraine has continued working on trying to recapture that part of the town, reportedly making some progress in the past month or two. This also includes the hospital which held against Ukrainian assaults since September, although sources differ on exact control.

Out east, from early to mid March Russian assault groups managed to secure the remainder of central Petropavlivka (above the a), as well as parts of the southern streets (beneath the k).

A little to the southeast, Russian forces also managed to recapture the remainder of Pishchane (below the m), putting additional pressure on the Ukrainian troops occupying the fortifications to the east.

Adjacent to this, Russian assault groups have pushed through the fields deep into Kurylivka (below the y), capturing about half of the locality up to the fortifications and bridge over the Lozovatka River. This throws yet another spanner into the works of the this front (we’re running out of spanners), as the Ukrainian defence of eastern Podoly is now flanked by another push from the side.

On top of this Russian DRG groups are still present in Kupyansk-Vuzlovyi, as well as a new one being spotted in Kivsharivka. This front has more holes than a slice of Swisse cheese and the exact control or presence of both side’s troops is virtually impossible to determine.

Down to the Oskil River front, there was some smaller pushes in mid March around the border between Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts, with the Russians capturing some treelines and fields around Hrekivka. Not much to say on this one as activity remains low and we’re unlikely to see a wider push here for some time.

Moving to the Lyman front, battles continue in the forest north of Svyatohirsk, with the Russian managed to establish control up to the edge of Sosnove.

On the very south edge of this map, Russia also crossed the road between Lyman and Raihorodok, trying to flank the town.

Over on the Siversk front, over the past couple of weeks Russia has made further advances around and in Riznykivka, capturing the remainder of the village, the fortification and treelines to the north of it, as well as the treelines to the south. This has cracked the Ukrainian defence line in this area, with at least one Russian assault group even moving deep into Kalenyky (below the u).

Whilst neither Kalenyky nor Kryva Luka (underneath the S) have been cleared by Russia, the greyzone is expanding in this area and the loss of many of the fortifications here will open the way for a Russian push on Rai-Oleksandrivka.

There was also a small Ukrainian group spotted in Yampil (very top of map), which the Russians are trying to clear out now.

Slightly south on the same front, over the same time period Russian forces managed to capture Fedorivka Druha (above the a) and are now moving into neighbouring Dibrova and towards the canal.

A little to the south Russia also managed to capture a bit more of Holubivka, where fighting is ongoing, whilst Ukraine launched an attack back into Minkivka.

Onto the Chasiv Yar front, throughout March Ukraine has sent small groups of infantry into the ruins of the western suburbs of the town, taking over several streets. Ukraine will likely try to continue pushing small numbers of infantry into the ruins of Chasiv Yar, but I doubt the effectiveness of such a decision as the Russians are not attacking Kostyantynivka from there and its diverting resources away from the defence of the city.

Moving to the Kostyantynivka front, Ukraine has continued launching counterattacks in the city, managing to recapture a couple of streets in the back and forth fighting.

Out west, Russia captured some more treelines south of Novopavlivka, which have effectively been under their control for a while now.

Heading to the Pokrovsk front, on the northeast side, Russian troops have captured some more treelines west of Rodynske, although they are still unable to clear the mine immediately west of the town.

To the west, Russia captured another bit of norther Hryshyne, as they work on clearing the last few streets of the town. Ukrainian sources already report Russian activity near the villages north of Hryshyne, so they will likely begin to assault those once Hryshyne is secured.

To the southwest, Russian forces are increasing their attacks towards Serhiivka and have captured several more fields around the mine. At the same time Ukraine is attempting to move back into Udachne yet again, although they have not been successful so far.

Following on from picture 1, Russia secured Potapivka, now in control of a stretch of the Sumy border about 35km long. They still do not look like they intend to do much with this aside from pull some Ukrainian units away from other fronts, but the option is still open.

Over on the northern front, on the northeastern side, Russian soldiers managed to capture a small forest area along the Kharkiv Border, whilst fighting continues over nearby Nesterne.

Much further southwest, Russia has also been pushing further into the forest along the Siverskyi Donets River following their consolidation in Symynivka and Hrafske, with their troops now moving towards Verkhnya Pysarivka.

Following on from picture 2, on the west side of the town, Suriyak has marked most of the greyzone and some of the Russian controlled territory as being back under Ukrainian control, with the Russians only maintaining a small presence on the northern edge. However in my opinion he may have jumped the gun, as there have been several videos released over the past few weeks showing the Russians still deep in western Kupyansk, refuting Ukraine’s total control. I would personally have kept more of the greyzone in the town, but just keep in mind that Ukraine does not have solid control yet.

To the southeast, following the capture of Pishchane Russian assault groups have started moving south, taking over some trench networks near the railway. Their goal is to work their way along these fortifications south to completely cut off the Ukrainians to the east.

Following on from picture 5, Suriyak has added a couple more spots where Ukrainian DRGs were seen behind Russian lines, although each of these are already being shelled by Russia so they may not last long.

On the frontline itself, Russia has spread its infantry groups out wide due to the deteriorating situation of the Ukrainian defenders, who have lost control over a large portion of the fields and treelines due to a lack of fortifications and troops. Russia has only been confirmed to have made minor gains in a couple of spots though, as they still need to properly clear and secure these areas, not just move through.

Following on from pictures 7 and 8, Russian troops were spotted moving further into Kostyantynivka, whilst Ukraine tried to cross the T0504 road into Stupochky once again (without success).

Following on from picture 9, Russian assault groups captured the remainder of Hryshyne, although have yet to fully consolidate in the town. They have quickly moved out into the surrounding area and are now presssuring Novooleksandrivka, Vasilivka, and Myrne, the capture of which would set the stage for an offensive on Dobropillya.

To the southwest, Russia and Ukraine have been sending DRGs towards each others lines, with clashes occurring and the greyzone expanding.

Onto the Pokrovske front, on the far west side Suriyak has remarked Rizdvyanka as under Ukrainian control, although if you’ve read my previous two posts I denied Russia ever controlled these area in the first place so it makes no difference to the analysis.

To the east, over the past month Ukraine has continued their counteroffensive, sending more and more vehicles and small infantry groups out into the area around the Yanchur River. From the map Suriyak has marked Danylivka, Yehorivka, Tsehelne, Vyshneve, Pryvillya, Verbove and Stepove as being captured by Ukraine, about half of which have been in the greyzone for some time now. Ukraine has also linked up with that DRG area between the Yanchur and Haichur Rivers, meaning it is now added to the advances. This skews the numbers a bit as its occurred over 2 months, but you can average it out if you want to be accurate.

Like with Kupyansk I do think Suriyak has jumped the gun slightly on some of this, as footage continues to be released, from both the Russians and Ukrainians, showing Russia is still present in many of the areas now marked as Ukrainian controlled. This frontline is simply a mess and even more of it should be marked as greyzone, but it’ll eventually stabilise. For now just remember that Ukraine’s strategy here is sending large numbers of troops out in either small groups on foot or in individual vehicles (video 1, video 2, video 3), trying to push as far into Russian lines as possible but not necessarily clearing them out.

Down to the Hulyaipole front, whilst Ukraine has been continuing their counteroffensive, Russia has been increasing their own pressure on the frontline east of Omelnyk, capturing a series of fields near Zaliznychne, but more importantly sending many DRGs out deep into Ukrainian lines. The fortification lines are working against Ukraine in many ways here, as it makes it harder for them to cross them certain areas (barbed wires and mines hinder both sides), whilst the fortifications can also be used by the Russians as cover.

This has led to a significant expansion of greyzone but the Russians will find it difficult to control any of it unless they can drive Ukraine out of the localities throughout this area. If they can’t their DRGs will remain isolated and Ukraine will eventually be able to pick them off.

Moving to the Zaporizhia front, on the northwest side, Ukraine reportedly counterattacked again in Prymorske and recaptured the northern part of the town. Once again Suriyak seems to have jumped the gun as footage has shown the Russians still present in northern Prymorske and even in Richne. He’ll likely update the map next time but for now consider a lot of this area to be contested.

To the southeast Russia recaptured some of the treelines in the fields east of Stepnohirsk, whilst clashes continue over the settlement cluster north of the fortification line. This area is also a mess where its unclear who controls who, hence the greyzone.