RU POV: Russian and Ukrainian advances on Day 829 of the war - Suriyakmaps

Fighting in and around Chasiv Yar continues, including some very odd developments. To start with the main point, a Ukrainian source published a video showing a Russian MT-LB pushing straight through Ukrainian lines, reaching the other side of the canal, before dropping off soldiers and driving further into Ukrainian territory. The video itself hasn't been posted to the sub yet (please someone post it), but the geolocation map has.

The whole video and discussion around it has been weird to say the least. To start with, despite being THE key chokepoint in this area, the Russian MT-LB was able to drive straight through Ukrainian lines unopposed in the middle of the day.

The second odd aspect is the lack of Ukrainian forces, as there are 6 separate trench lines in this area, yet none seem to be manned by Ukraine.

Third, the MT-LB seem quite lost, continuing to drive deeper into Ukrainian territory after it dropped the soldiers off.

Fourth, despite the Ukrainian channel claiming they quickly took out the soldiers dropped off and the MT-LB, no evidence has been published showing this to be true. All we can see is a single FPV drone hitting near a couple of the soldiers, with all of them shown to get up and walk into the trenches immediately after (i.e. no KIA). Given the drone would have continued filming to try direct fire, if the Ukrainian source did have evidence of them being taken out they would have published it. Thus, for now we can say those soldiers are probably still there.

What this has shown is the Russian forces have made more progress in Kalinina, and will likely be able to push up to the canal and take the rest of eastern side within the next few days.

Further south, Russian forces took more of the forests south of the microdistrict, as well as capturing more fields south of Ivanivske. Ukrainian forces are trying to hold the line in the forests, as it is 1 of only 3 points in this area where a bridge is not required to cross the canal.

Following on from yesterday, Russian forces continued their advance west of Avdiivka, capturing more of the fields. Russian forces continue to inch closer to Sokil and Novopokrovske, with fighting for these villages likely to begin in the next week or so.

Adding onto the odd developments today, Russian forces made unexpected advances along the Zaporozhzhia front, capturing a large number of fields west of Nesteryanka, and expanding the buffer around the village of Myrne. Both of these areas have seen little change to the front line in years, not even having much fighting take place during the counteroffensive.

To burst the bubble of many Russian sources, these are both likely opportunistic advances by the units stationed there, not the start of an offensive. This area is far more lightly defended by Ukraine, and both sides are more focused on the Robotyne salient (middle red dot).

Ukrainian forces managed to recapture the trenches Russia took 10 days ago, with Russian forces also managing to push up the railway towards Vyimka.

Following on from some advances in the past few days, Russian forces have been able to take over more of the fields around Kolomyichykha. The goal of Russian forces in this area of the front is to push west across a broad area, and force Ukraine back further and further towards the Oskil river. This is still likely to be a long campaign, as Russian forces are quite dispersed and attacking in smaller groups across this 50km stretch of the front.