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Post #73

RU POV: Russian and Ukrainian advances from Day 890 to 893 of the War - Suriyakmaps

Aug 2, 2024 — Aug 5, 2024 War Day 890–893

Pictures 1 to 5 are from Day 890, Pictures 6 and 7 are from Day 891, Pictures 8 to 12 are from Day 892, and Pictures 13 to 15 are from Day 893.

Ukrainian Advance
7.10 km²
Overall (set): 7.10 km²
Russian Advance
28.89 km²
Net Change
-21.79 km²

Situation Snapshots

Imagery, commentary, and territorial changes from the period.

15 entries
Russian Forces Advance: 1.78 km²

Left Advance = 0.90km2, Right Advance = 0.88km2

(Picture 1) Developments around Prohres continue. Russian forces pushed slightly further down the railway next to Serhiivka, as well as capturing the first houses of the village. This advance was opportunistic, as Russian focus is still primarily on Zhelanne (bottom red dot). Russian forces probably sent a small squad of infantry to clear the initial houses, and defend from attacks from the rear, as the main force prepares to assault the western side of Zhelanne.

Just to the east of this, Russian forces also continued their push on the eastern side of the town, capturing more fields and trenches. The Ukrainian 47th Mech Brigade is in a dire state, having lost 3 Bradleys in this area on this day alone, and still failing to halt the Russian advance (Bradley 1, Bradley 2, Bradley 3).
Russian Forces Advance: 0.19 km²

Advance = Advance = 0.19km2

(Picture 2) Russian forces continued their advance in Pivnichne, crossing the main road and railway, and capturing the first houses on the other side. This area is considered part of Toretsk, hence why Russian sources claim Russia has entered the town. They are however still quite a ways away from the main bulk of the settlement.
Russian Forces Advance: 0.04 km²

Advance = 0.04km2

(Picture 3) Russian troops made a small advance south of Ivanivske, capturing a small trenchline. Clashes continue on the hill above Klishchiivka (white shape), with neither side coming out on top over the past few weeks. The greyzone has expanded here as Ukraine lost control of the forest area and fields, but Russia has been unable to move in.
Ukrainian Forces Advance: 0.85 km²

Advance = 0.85km2

(Picture 4) Over the past week, Ukrainian forces counterattacked in Makiivka, and were able to retake most of the eastern side of the settlement. Russia still has a foothold on the southern side, and will likely attack once again and try to recapture the lost territory soon.
Ukrainian Forces Advance: 6.25 km²

Advance = 6.25km2

(Picture 5) Sometime in July, Ukraine advanced through the forests northwest of Starytsia, capturing a large area. This update is so delayed as geolocations and footage from this part of the front is rare, owing to the very few UA and RU troops here, and the dense forests making geolocating difficult. Ukraine's goal is to circumvent Starytsia and try cut the supplies flowing in from over the border. They do have to be careful however, as Russia could still outflank them by attacking from behind near Sereda.
Russian Forces Advance: 0.23 km²

Advance = 0.23km2

(Picture 6) Following their capture of the main bulk of Krasnogorivka a few days ago, Russian assault troops have begun to move through the northwestern suburbs and clear the buildings. Ukraine still maintains a presence here, as confirmed by drone footage, however they are unlikely to be able to stop Russia's advance due to only having a few, small houses to defend from, which are vulnerable to artillery and FPV drones.
Russian Forces Advance: 6.43 km²

Top Advance = 2.00km2, Bottom Advance = 4.43km2

(Picture 7) Back over to the Prohres area, Russian forces continued their advance inside Ivanivske, following their capture of the trench network on the south side a few days ago. Similar to the other villages, with troops stretched thin, and few defensive positions set up in advance, holding Ivanivske will be extremely difficult. Russia will continue to leverage their drone and artillery advantage to drive (or wipe) Ukrainian forces from the village, clearing it with small squads of infantry.

To the south, Russian forces advanced out of Novoselivka Persha, following their operational pause after the capture of the town 2 weeks ago. As I mentioned in a previous comment, the Russian command had the choice of sending the 114th motorized rifle brigade (which captured the town) to either join the Russian forces moving west, or clear the remainder of the territory west of the Vovcha river (south). We now have confirmation that they have chosen the latter, and Ukraine will almost certainly withdraw from this area over the next few days, as there is only 1 crossings left, which is at risk of being cut off.
Russian Forces Advance: 0.58 km²

Top Left Advance = 0.48km2, Top Right Advance = 0.10km2

(Picture 8) Back to Zalizne, Russian forces continued their advance, capturing the substation and buildings next to the slag heap, as well as capturing the remainder of the buildings on the south side of the town. Ukraine tried to counterattack to slow down the advance, however was unsuccessful. Part of that aftermath (loss of an IFV) can be seen in this video.

As many people have commented, the Russian assault groups in this area look to be heading towards the substation area (above the 'a'), which would act as a mid-way/staging point for any advance on the southern side of Toretsk (top of map), or towards Nelipivka to cut off the Ukrainian forces in Niu-York.
Russian Forces Advance: 2.99 km²

Advance = 2.99km2

(Picture 9) In the Robotyne salient, Russian forces continue their advance, utilising very small groups of infantry (2 to 3), paired with many drone operators to clear each trench and dugout one by one (as seen in this video). This has led to them advancing northwest over the past few days, as Ukrainian troops holding the salient have been wiped out or forced to retreat. Ukraine is slowly losing control of the salient, and will likely be forced out over the next few months, if not earlier.
Russian Forces Advance: 1.05 km²

Top Advance = 0.05km2, Bottom Advance = 1.00km2

(Picture 10) Following a short pause after the capture of Urozhaine, Russian forces have started to increase the buffer around the town, pushing up along the treelines on the main road, as well as clearing several fields to the east.
Russian Forces Advance: 2.91 km²

Top Advance = 1.43km2, Bottom Left Advance = 0.68km2, Bottom Right Advance = 0.80km2

(Picture 11) Back over to Prohres area once again, with developments continuing. In the north, Russian forces approaching the outskirts of Lysychne after capturing the surrounding fields The village is extremely small (<10 properties), and Ukraine will almost certainly not be able to hold it, and will instead withdraw to one of the trench networks to the west.

Around Zhelanne, the situation has gone from bad to worse for Ukraine. Not only have Russian assault troops entered the town, and captured a large chunk of the western suburbs, but they have also managed to push south on the eastern side, cutting off the eastern road. Ukrainian troops inside Zhelanne now only have 2 dirt paths to supply them from, both of which are well within FPV drone range.

The eastern advance has also cut off the one of the trench networks near a crossing over the Vovcha river, which will likely force those troops to retreat soon, and open a new supply road for Russia
Russian Forces Advance: 1.38 km²

Top Advance = 0.25km2, Bottom Advance = 1.13km2

Picture 12) Back over to the Toretsk area, and the situation is deteriorating rapidly for Ukraine. Russian forces made a series of advances following many small groups infiltrating Ukrainian 'controlled' areas, resulting in them reaching the northern side of the slag heap, and ambushing a number of Ukrainian groups (some of which can be seen here). The ensuing chaos has allowed Russia to capture most of the suburbs of Pivnichne, and advance further in Druzhba (north of railway line).
Russian Forces Advance: 1.57 km²

Advance = 1.57km2

(Picture 13) Back to the Zhelanne area for one final time this post, with the situation going from 'worse' to 'dire' for the 47th Mech. Russian forces have continued advancing all around the town, capturing most of the remaining fields on the north side, and getting within a few hundred metre of the warehouses on the eastern side. This is on top of losing another Bradley, which they can scarce afford.

The 47th Mech will almost certainly have to being their withdrawal from Zhelanne over the next few days, as it is clear they are in no state to try defend the town from 3 sides simultaneously, and with a precarious supply route. From what I was able to find, their forward operating base was being moved to Novohrodivka (West), along with several other units.
Russian Forces Advance: 9.35 km²

Advance = 9.35km2

(Picture 14) The big development today was Ukraine's withdrawal from the areas southeast of Niu-York. I predicted this in my previous post, but to summarise, Ukraine is having to withdraw the last units occupying the old 2014 defences back towards the town due to the risk of them being encircled. Russia is slowly clearing this area, and will likely start to advance into the eastern suburbs within the next day or 2. Some Russian sources have even gone as far as to claim they've already cleared the last of the fields and the entirety of the first street on that side, however I can't verify this
Russian Forces Advance: 0.39 km²

Advance = 0.39km2

(Picture 15) Following on from Pic 12, Russian forces cleared the last of the residential area in central Pivnichne, as Ukrainian forces retreat westward. Aside from the soldiers inside the industrial area, almost all Ukrainian groups are based in Toretsk itself, travelling out into Pivnichne, Zalizne, and Druzhba each day to try combat Russian forces.