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Post #86

RU POV: Russian advances from Day 911 of the War - Suriyakmaps

Aug 23, 2024 — Aug 23, 2024 War Day 911–911

I split this post up from the previous one as there are too many update pictures, and the analysis would be stretched out over 4 comments.

Day 911 is Friday 23 August (local time), just for reference.

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Pictures 1 to 7 are from Day 911.

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A reminder that these maps are confirming updates from previous days (i.e. 12 to 48 hours delayed from each day).

Ukrainian Advance
0.00 km²
Overall (set): 0.00 km²
Russian Advance
23.79 km²
Net Change
-23.79 km²

Situation Snapshots

Imagery, commentary, and territorial changes from the period.

7 entries
Russian Forces Advance: 4.60 km²

Advance = 4.60km2

North of Paraskoviivka, Russian troops captured a large area of fields, as Ukrainian forces continue to be driven back towards the main road.
Russian Forces Advance: 0.32 km²

Advance = 0.32km2

In Krasnogorivka, Russian troops recaptured the fields and farm on the southwestern side of the town. This area has been in the grey zone for almost a month, after Ukrainian forces were driven out following their counterattack on Day 886. This area has also significantly quietened down, with both sides resting following months of fighting for Krasnogorivka.
Russian Forces Advance: 0.30 km²

Advance = 0.30km2

Taking advantage of the chaos on the Pokrovsk front, Russian forces launched an attack on Karlivka, capturing part of the eastern side of the town. As I predicted in my last post, Russian command is trying to open up another angle of attack on Ukrainian forces east of Selydove, whilst they are in retreat in much of the area. If Russia can take Karlivka, it will provide it with another supply route over the Vovcha River, and allow more Russian units to take part in the offensive.

Karlivka will likely fall even if these assaults fail, as Russian troops advancing from the north (partially seen top left of map), will almost certainly cut the main supply road into the town within the next week.
Russian Forces Advance: 4.18 km²

Top Left Advance = 0.27km2, Top Right Advance = 0.05km2, Middle Advance = 0.99km2, Bottom Right Advance = 2.87km2

On the Pokrovsk front, Russian troops continued making good progress in multiple areas. On the north side, Russian troops entered Krasnyi Yar, following their capture of Krutyi Yar just to the south. Some sources claim Russian troops have already captured this village, although that has not been confirmed just yet.

To the east of here, Russian assault groups begun moving through the fields to the south side of Hrodivka, capturing a treeline. If Russian troops can begin assaults on Hrodivka from the side south, on top of their existing assaults on the east side, Ukraine will almost certainly be unable to hold the town, primarily due to a lack of forces. Ukrainian sources claim that the situation is so dire, the 151st Mechanised Brigade is sending drone operators to man positions as infantry, although its unknown whether this is an isolated incident or on a large scale. There are also some reports that Ukraine has moved the 15th National Guard Brigade from the Zaporizhzhia front to the Pokrovsk front. National Guard are typically rearline units who lack the training and equipment of the main army, and are likely being used here just to try fill the line.

To the south, in Novohrodivka Russian assault groups are making rapid progress through the town, and have captured a large portion of the apartment buildings on the eastern side of the town, and are also close to the centre of the settlement. I’ve mentioned this several times before, but Ukraine’s lack of forces is really killing them here, as Russian troops have made more progress in a day than they would have in a month, just 6 months ago. Ukraine is trying its hardest to retain control of the town using tanks to strike the Russian assault groups, however these are being struck by Russian drones or the assault groups themselves, whose rapid progress means they are further into the town than Ukraine realised. As for the Ukrainian infantry, from the few reports we have they are simply being outmanoeuvred or overrun, and are losing ground or being taken out quickly.

Along the Oskil River, Russian troops made further progress towards Kalynove, capturing even more fields and another trench network. Assaults on Kalynove are currently ongoing.
Russian Forces Advance: 1.14 km²

Advance = 1.14km2

In Toretsk, Russian assault groups have advanced through the forests on the southern side, and have captured the first couple of apartment buildings and part of the school. With Russia attacking from both the eastern and southern sides simultaneously, Ukrainian forces are in trouble, as they are having to split their limited forces to deal with the 2 directions of advance. A third direction of Russian advance may also be opened up if Russian troops in Niu York, currently fighting in Nelipivka (dot bottom left), advance up the railway and join in on assaults on Toretsk.
Russian Forces Advance: 1.81 km²

Advance = 1.81km2

South of Vyimka, Russian troops captured part of the fields west of the railway, as they continue slowly advancing towards the settlement.
Russian Forces Advance: 11.44 km²

Advance = 11.44km2

In Kursk, Russian troops recaptured Spalnoe and the surrounding fields, as they slowly push Ukraine back towards the border. Clashes are currently ongoing between the sides in Borki (blue dot).

Compared to other parts of the Kursk front, Ukrainian command has not committed as many additional forces to this area, after the destruction of the Ukrainian column in Giri. Thus, Ukrainian troops here are slowly being driven back, as they don’t have the high numbers of Armoured Cars, APCs and IFVs as seen in other areas to allow them to keep advancing. There is a high possibility that Ukrainian command has accepted it will not hold the area east of the Psel River, and thus is using its forces elsewhere.