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Post #96

RU POV: Russian and Ukrainian advances from Day 925 and 926 of the War - Suriyakmaps

Sep 6, 2024 — Sep 7, 2024 War Day 925–926

I’m quite busy this week, so there (probably) won’t be an update until Thursday or Friday. I’ve even written this update on my phone so I don’t fall too far behind.

I’ll still keep tracking all the changes and keeping notes, but you’ll just have to be patient and wait for the analysis later on.

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Pictures 1 to 7 are from Day 925 (Friday 06 September), and Pictures 8 to 11 are from Day 926 (Saturday 07 September).

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A reminder that these maps are confirming updates from previous days (i.e. 12 to 48 hours delayed from each day).

Ukrainian Advance
6.99 km²
Overall (set): 10.62 km²
Russian Advance
42.27 km²
Net Change
-35.28 km²

Situation Snapshots

Imagery, commentary, and territorial changes from the period.

11 entries
Russian Forces Advance: 0.67 km²

Advance = 0.67km2

On the Kupyansk front, Russian forces were confirmed to have captured the remainder of Synkivka, following their capture of the main part of the village a week ago. From here Russia will need to clear out the forest area to the west before it can start advancing towards Kupyansk itself.
Russian Forces Advance: 13.98 km²

Left Advance = 3.36km2, Right Advance = 1.52km2, Lower Right Advance = 9.10km2

In Kursk, back and forth fighting between the warring sides continues. East of Korenevo, Russian troops have captured several fields around the main road, as they push to expand the buffer around the time. On the north side, Ukrainian troops captured multiple fields south of Kamyshevka, as well as reaching the outskirts of Khitrovka (red dot).
Ukrainian Forces Advance: 1.91 km²

Advance = 1.91km2

Onto the Oskil River front, Russia has captured another fields northwest of Stelmakhivka, as it gradually closing the last foothold Ukraine has on the east side of the Zherebets River here. Ukraine is still holding onto the last trenchline in this area, but will likely have to retreat in the coming days, as they only have 1 crossing over the river left.
Russian Forces Advance: 1.98 km²

Advance = 1.98km2

In Niu-York, the confusing situation is still ongoing, however more information has come out that is helping to clear it up. In the last update, Ukraine had counterattacked and pushed Russia out of the few buildings in Nepilivka it controlled, as well as entering the northern side of Niu-York, potentially unblocking the unknown number of troops stuck in the Phenolic Plant.

On Friday, Russian assault groups counterattacked (making it a counter-counterattack), pushing Ukraine back out of Niu-York once again, and taking over several streets of Nepilivka. This is confirmed by video footage of drone strikes (both attempts and hits), on Russian troops in Nelipivka. The situation in the Phenolic Plant is still unclear, but evidence has been released confirming Russia is present in at least one building on the east side. We’ll have to wait and see whether Ukraine pulled its troops from the plant, or if fighting is still ongoing there.

Its likely Ukraine will try counterattack again, as its imperative for their defence of Toretsk that they do not allow Russia to fully secure Nelipivka and Niu-York, which would be forward bases for assaults on the southern side of Toretsk.
Ukrainian Forces Advance: 0.68 km²

Top Advance = 0.22km2, Bottom Advance = 0.46km2

In Selydove, heavy clashes continue in the eastern side of the city. Russian troops have re-established control of the streets and the forest area around the mine complex, having briefly lost control a few days ago. Ukraine is still continuing its efforts to drive Russia out from this area, including attacks into Mykhailivka, with no success so far. Its critical for Ukraine to retake the mine complex, as if Russia can move its soldiers and supplies up, and establish positions on the slag heap, it will be very difficult for Ukraine to drive them out.
Russian Forces Advance: 0.44 km²

Left Advance = 0.19km2, Right Advance = 0.25km2

Southeast of Selydove, Russian assault groups have advanced into Ukrainsk from the south and eastern side, taking a small foothold in both of them. Heavy clashes are ongoing in the town, as Russia seeks to drive Ukraine out, which will allow them to flank Selydove from the south.
Ukrainian Forces Advance: 4.40 km²

Advance = 4.40km2

Around Krasnogorivka, Ukrainian troops have withdrawn from the northern and western sides of the town, as they pull out of the entire area east of the Oskil River. Russia has quickly moved in, harassing Ukrainian troops as they retreat, and will likely take over the last small section of the town on the west side in the next few days. Russian troops cannot rush their advances, as they still have to be careful of mines, booby-traps, and Ukrainian rearguard troops who may still be around to harass them.
Russian Forces Advance: 2.87 km²

Advance = 2.87km2

Back to the Kursk front, Russian troops have re-entered Cherkasskoe Porechnoe, taking over just under half the small town. This advance follows on from Ukraine’s capture of the settlement a little over a week ago, and their recent failure to advance further northwest on this side of the Sudzha River. Recapturing the town will allow Russia to harass Ukrainian troop movements around Sudzha and Martynovka, forcing them to divert forces to either defend this area or drive Russia out once again.

Clashes continue in many other areas of the Kursk front, however no territorial changes could be confirmed.
Russian Forces Advance: 1.71 km²

Top Advance = 0.26km2, Bottom Advance = 1.45km2

Back to the Oskil River front, Russian troops have advanced towards Nevske from two different places, capturing multiple treelines. Russia has continually shifted where it has attacked from in this particular area over the last few weeks, but its goal is clearly Nevske and forcing Ukraine to retreat from the eastern side of the Zherebets River, as it has done so in several other places on this front.
Russian Forces Advance: 7.11 km²

Left Advance = 1.08km2, Right Advance = 6.03km2

Continuing on from Picture 7, Russia troops have captured more of the northern fields, and cleared most of western Krasnogorivka, as Ukraine has retreated from this area. The entire town is NOT under Russian control, as there is still a small area on the western side they have yet to capture, which will likely occur over the coming days.

Once Krasnogorivka is completely under Russian control, most of the fields to the west (under the @Suri) will likely fall soon after, as Russia is able to bypass most of the Ukrainian defensive positions in the fields utilising the western side of the town along the river. Thus, this area is also likely to be abandoned by Ukraine, although this will not occur until later.
Russian Forces Advance: 13.51 km²

Advance = 13.51km2

On the Dnieper River front, Russian troops have captured the remainder of Bilohrudyi island and thus the rest of the town of the same name. Events on this front have been quietly ongoing in the background of the war, as they are on a far smaller scale, and haven’t seen the same sorts of changes as other fronts. You would likely have only seen the occasional POW video or drone strike from this area, as small numbers of Russian and Ukrainian troops battle it out for control of the islands.

With Bilohrudyi under Russian control, they can now begin attacks on the islands right next to the Ukrainian controlled right bank of the river, with there already being reports of some initial recon groups reaching Korabla island (next one north). Unfortunately, to burst the bubble of those who dream of a Russian Kherson offensive, it is unlikely anything major will occur here despite the recent Russian progress. Whilst Ukraine does only have a few weak Territorial Defence Brigades and the remains of the Marine brigades that took part in Krynky, an offensive over the Dneiper River is unlikely due to the risk, Russian offensives elsewhere being the priority, and the difficulty in establishing and supplying a proper beachhead.

We are likely to only see small recon and infiltration groups operating on the islands, and trying to get into the rear of Kherson Oblast in order to carry out sabotage and spot targets (artillery and MLRS), similar to what Ukraine has been trying to do with its attacks on the Kinburn spit.