RU POV: Russian and Ukrainian advances from Day 931 of the War - Suriyakmaps

We head right into the Kursk front, where the Russian counteroffensive continues for its third day. Russian assault groups have continued making progress of the west side, advancing out from Obukhovka (red dot above S and u), as well as another grouping from Korenevo, capturing a large area of fields, treelines/forests, and reaching the outskirts of Liubimovka (blue dot above Pokrovskii) as well as Tolstyi Lug. Pokrovskii itself is not a settlement, but rather a couple of farms, some abandoned long ago.

As I mentioned yesterday, one of Russia’s immediate goals here is to cut the main supply road which runs from Sudzha to Korenevo, which requires them to capture Liubimovka and Tolstyi Lug. Reports about what is happened in and around these settlements are all over the place, with Russian and Ukrainian sources contracting each other and claiming everything from “both settlements were captured by Russia” to “the Russians have been driven out and all the way back past Obukhovka”. Given the lack of detail and conflicting reports, for now all we know is at the end of Day 931 Russia head reached these 2 settlements, and assaults were underway.

Ukraine has not been sitting idly by, and is actively counterattacking Russian troops in an attempt to drive them back before they can consolidate gains. On top of attacking Russian equipment and soldiers around the Seim River, they’ve also launched attacks on several border areas (just off map to the southwest), in an attempt to cut behind the Russian counteroffensive units. The actual outcome of these attacks is currently unclear, as whilst we have some photos and videos of it occurring (such as 1 of an engineering vehicle and several tanks crossing the border), we also have snippets of footage showing the Ukrainian force under attack. Given the lack of conclusive footage either way, no successful or failed advances can be shown just yet.

n the Chasiv Yar front, Russian troops made a small advance along the west side of the canal north of Kalinivna, likely to clear some of the small trenches and dugouts in that area.

On the Toretsk front, geolocated footage has shown a small Russian advance south of the main road (above the y), as Russian soldiers continue to try advance under Ukrainian shelling/bombing.

In Niu-York, reports indicate Russia has finally cleared the industrial area of the phenolic plant, as well ad capturing a chunk of the fields east of Nepilivka. From here Russia will continue their attacks into Nepilivka, which they already control a large portion of. If Russia can capture this town and continue moving north, it will open up opens for further assaults into Toretsk, this time from the southwest.

On the Pokrovsk front, over the past few days Ukrainian troops from Myrnohrod counterattacked, recapturing Nikolaevka and part of Krasnyi Yar. These assault groups also tried to continue south into Krutyi Yar, however were repelled or wiped out by Russian forces. This has left the entirety of Krutyi Yar, and most of Krasnyi Yar in the greyzone. Ukraine will almost certainly make further counterattacks on this front, as it seeks to increase the buffer around the cities, and buy time for them to prepare for a siege.

Southwest of here, following the attacks mentioned in yesterday’s update, Russian troops were confirmed to have captured most of the fields between Novohrodivka and Lysivka, as well as establishing a foothold in the town. Reports about Russian progress in Lysivka are mixed, and its not entirely clear how far they have advanced into it, however this will be clarified over the next few days.

Further south, Ukrainian troops have withdrawn from most of Ukrainsk, as mentioned here, and are currently limited to the stadium and mine complex areas. Russia will almost certainly move into the remainder of the town and push Ukraine out of their last foothold in the next few days, as Ukraine is forced to retreat back west towards Tsukuryne.

Yesterday I talked about how Ukraine was likely to retreat very soon from the area west of Krasnogorivka, due to the threat of Russian attacks cutting them off. I also mentioned they would settle in positions around Hostre and defend from there. Less than 12 hours later, what I predicted occurred.

Early in the day, a large Russian mechanised column advanced out of Krasnogorivka, pushing through the fields where Ukrainian forces had retreated from not long ago. Under fire, the Russian groups advanced towards Hostre, dropping off infantry who pushed in to capture the village. There is a video of some of this attack, however its quite heavily edited, making it difficult to determine order of events and the outcome.

For now, reports and footage indicate Russia has captured the majority of the fields west of Krasnogorivka, as well as Hostre itself. Ukraine is intensely shelling the area, and will almost certainly counterattack to try dislodge Russia before they can consolidate positions, as Hostre will compromise Ukrainian positions in Maksymilyanivka, the last town before Kurakhove (pic below).

On the Vuhledar front, Russian troops secured the area between Prechystivka and Zolota Nyva, as they advance towards the latter. This area was likely abandoned by Ukraine days ago, but a lack of footage and reports has meant that confirming Russian presence here was delayed. Zolota Nyva will likely be under Russian attack soon, and Ukraine will almost certainly abandon it for positions north of the river, as its small size and few defensible buildings make it unsuitable to hold.